The difference in the second half over the first half is the Mariners are scoring half a run less per game at 3.71 per game compared to 4.25 in the first half. They have given up 4.79 runs per game in the second half as opposed to 4.25 per game.
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Seattle had actually had a -2 run differential in the first half. They scored 412 in the first half while giving up 414. This is the result of the Mariners winning so many one-run games. Their record in one-run games through the first 81 contests was 25-11 (.694).
In the second half so far the M’s have scored 178 runs and yielded 230 runs. It’s the answer to why they have done so poorly since the all-star break. It’s getting worse, in September the Mariners have been outscored 40-30, leading to a record of 4-6.
Though the Mariners are not mathematically out of it would take a miracle at this point to make the playoffs. I just hope that they can play the season out doing better than right now.
It would not surprise me if the Mariners go on a five game or longer win streak because there is no pressure any longer to make the playoffs. I hope that this does happen for all of us that were thinking back in June that the Mariners finally going to make the playoffs before this tailspin.
Although it won’t take the sting of not making the playoffs it will make the season feel more of a success. An 88 to 90 win season would give M’s fans more hope going into 2019. After all, there have been years where Seattle would have made the playoffs with that win total.
No fan wants them to limp to the finish line, where we mourn for a few weeks while the other teams move on. I might also feel a little better if Oakland lost the wild card game to the Yankees. Still, lets put a bow on 2018, and start looking forward to 2019.